As usual, next week’s Electronic Entertainment Expo will be home to dozens of new game announcements from the industry’s biggest publishers. This week, though, is when a lot of those announcements actually leak out publicly before their official, splashy reveals at the show. There’s only one problem: amid the credible rumors about upcoming games are a bunch of completely wild guesses from a hyped-up gaming public.

How do you separate the reliable information from the uninformed conjecture? That’s what we’re here for! Below, we take a look at some of the most interesting E3 rumors floating around and analyze the available evidence to determine just how likely these murmurings are. (This list doesn’t include the many games at the show that have already been announced or shown previously.) Take a look, and keep an eye out when we cover all the official announcements from the E3 show floor next week.